So sayeth the Wall Street Journal -- that famous neighborhood shopping sheet. Look at the roll Sanders has been on in recent weeks.
“If [Sanders] sweeps the final 10 primaries and caucuses,” reports the Journal breathlessly, “he might take the lead among bound delegates heading into the Democratic convention in July.” ...JonathanChait,DailyIntel
But there's a hitch.
In fact, taking the lead in bound delegates would require far more than sweeping the final ten states. Sanders would need to win two-thirds of the remaining delegates, an implausible goal given that the delegates are proportional, and the only state Sanders has managed to win two-thirds of is Vermont. Also, a huge share of those delegates will be won in California and New Jersey, where Clinton has large polling leads. And that is before even getting to the part where hundreds of longtime Clinton allies abandon her to support a candidate with positions they don’t want to defend in a general election. Probably the scenario has something to do with the Laffer curve. ...JonathanChait,DailyIntel