"The conventional wisdom underlying coverage of 2016 is that Donald Trump will go down in flames and probably take the Republican Senate with him." ...WaPo
That wisdom comes from "the elites in Washington," according to the Post. Hmmm.... WaPo goes on to nail some some yeh-buts to the wall. Clinton might well lose if she's complacent or she misspeaks (a little history there); she moves beyond center towards right; or left; or Bill butts in... and more.
And then there's a possible indictment.