Chris Cillizza of the Post has some interesting numbers when it comes to Romney getting the electoral college's vote.
It’s no secret that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has a narrow path to win the presidency this fall. Nowhere is that reality more apparent than when examining the electoral map on which Romney and President Obama will battle in November.
A detailed analysis of Romney’s various paths to the 270 electoral votes he would need to claim the presidency suggests he has a ceiling of somewhere right around 290 electoral votes.
While Romney’s team would absolutely take a 290-electoral-vote victory, that means he has only 20 electoral votes to play with — a paper-thin margin for error.
Romney’s relatively low electoral-vote ceiling isn’t unique to him. No Republican presidential nominee has received more than 300 electoral votes in more than two decades. ...WaPo
The states with the most electoral votes are all in Obama's pocket. Except Texas.
The only major electoral-vote treasure trove that is reliably Republican at the moment is Texas, with its 38 electoral votes. So while George W. Bush won 30 states in 2000 and 31 states in 2004, he never came close to cresting the 300-electoral-vote mark in either race. ...WaPo
Texas is swinging back towards Democrats, however. Not before the November election, and certainly not during a November election in which the Mexican-American population is being disenfranchised by the Republican legislature (ALEC).
But that's not the whole story. Texas' population has been growing rapidly over the past few years, fed by populations from other parts of the country. Many of the newcomers turn out to lean left and centrist. Counties where the few Democrats were -- seriously -- blocked from voting now have flourishing county Democratic party organizations, protests, and percentages. The changes are slow. But they're coming.