The credit system is undoubtedly facing considerable stress because so
many banks are effectively bankrupt, but the economy is not in a
downturn because banks aren't lending. It is in a downturn because we
have just lost $6 trillion in housing wealth and $8 trillion in stock
wealth. The expected effects of this loss of wealth is the huge falloff
in consumption that is driving the downturn. The condition of the banks
is very much a secondary issue. ... Dean Baker, American Prospect, 1/19/09