The numbers are "lower than at any point since May 2010, " according to a new poll.
The new NBC/WSJ/Telemundo poll contains a striking finding: Obama is leading Mitt Romney among likely Latino voters by 50 points, 71-21. That’s a pretty big deal — a significantly bigger spread than Obama’s 67-31 margin over John McCain in 2008. But there’s also some important stuff down in the internals.
As Sam Stein notes, a key finding here is that virtually all the Latino respondents are showing a high interest in the election. That bodes well for high Latino turnout, which could be crucial to Obama’s hopes.
But I’d point to another finding: The GOP’s positive ratings among Latinos are abysmally low, and the negative ratings are (for Republicans) alarmingly high. ...Greg Sargent, PlumLine, WaPo
Kevin Drum points out that Obama's lead hasn't changed much. He's pretty securely ahead.
If Pollster or RCP says that Obama is ahead by three points, then the odds are that he really is ahead by three points. There's still plenty of room for various kinds of error in these poll-of-polls averages, but pure sample error isn't really one of them any more.
For the record, as of today Pollster has Obama ahead by 4.3%; RCP has Obama ahead by 4.0%; Sam Wang's meta-margin has Obama ahead by 5.06%; and Nate Silver has Obama ahead by 3.9%. I think it's pretty safe to say that, at this moment in time, Obama is comfortably ahead. ...Kevin Drum, Mojo
But face it, poll by poll, Obama's lead is huge or minimal,depending on who you read. Steve Benen writes at MaddowBlog:
* In national polling, there are plenty of results to choose from. NBC has President Obama up by three points among likely voters, 49% to 46%; NPR shows Obama up by seven, 51% to 44%; and National Journal shows Obama and Romney tied at 47% each.
* In Ohio, NBC shows Obama's lead reaching seven points, 51% to 43%.
* In New Hampshire, Public Policy Polling shows Obama ahead by seven, 51% to 44%.
* Priorities USA Action, a pro-Obama super PAC, is shifting its focus away from Wisconsin and Florida, and investing more heavily in Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, and Virginia.
Face it, Latino voters by now are more discerning about the relative quality of the two candidates than our Mister Típico Gringo ¿no te parece?