Chance of Clinton winning Wisconsin

Andrew Sullivan reads the latest Rasmussen numbers and believe that yes, there is.  The race is certainly "competitive."

Over here, we look at the numbers and are reminded of what happened in the most recent 8 state primaries.  Then there is today's analysis from Rasmussen Reports:

A strong showing by Clinton would be a welcome dose of good news for her campaign. She now trails Obama nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Obama is now favored to win the nomination. Recent state polls in Colorado and New Hampshire  show that Obama performs better in general election match-ups against McCain. However, a recent Rasmussen Reports analysis suggests there is more to the question of which Democrat might fare better against McCain in the general election.

In Wisconsin, 39% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters name the economy as the top voting issue. Twenty-six percent (26%) see the War in Iraq as the highest priority. Obama has a huge lead (61% to 33%) among those who see Iraq as the top issue. Clinton has a narrow edge among other voters.

Obama is viewed favorably by 80% of Likely Democratic Voters in Wisconsin, Clinton by 79%.

Clinton earns her favorable reviews from 84% of women and 71% of men. There is no significant gender gap on Obama’s favorable ratings.

And who gets the nomination?

Rasmussen Markets data now shows Obama with a 75.0% chance to win the Democratic nomination. Expectations for a Clinton victory are at 30.0%. The numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll.

(That extra 5 % reflects the illegal votes of Islamo-fascist undocumented aliens?)